DHL is optimistic for bongdaso dữ liệu first quarter of 2025 with bongdaso dữ liệu expectation that airfreight volumes will continue to trend upwards.
In response to a question by Air Cargo News on first quarter predictions for airfreight during a DHL webinar, Tim Robertson, chief executive Americas, DHL Global Forwarding, said no major changes are expected following bongdaso dữ liệu anticipated strong fourth quarter.
“I think nothing dramatic in terms of trend shift for Q1 from an airfreight perspective,” Robertson said during bongdaso dữ liệu DHL Peak Season webinar on Friday October 4.
Third-quarter airfreight volumes out of Asia Pacific increased this year compared to bongdaso dữ liệu third quarter of 2023, plus much of that air cargo capacity is already secured by e-commerce shippers. Further, post-Golden Week in China DHL expects an increase in airfreight demand and for this to continue.
He explained: “(In) Q3 we saw some mid-single digit increases in airfreight over Q3 of 2023. We do anticipate that post Golden Week we’re going to see a nice run up in volumes, so we should anticipate to see bongdaso dữ liệu volume increase. bongdaso dữ liệu environment is such that that trend should continue in bongdaso dữ liệu first quarter of next year.
“Asia exports continue to be healthy. China Plus One continues to support strong volumes out of Thailand, Vietnam, India and we do anticipate that will continue in bongdaso dữ liệu first quarter.”
Strike strife
DHL also believes that there may be increased interest in airfreight from shippers as a result of bongdaso dữ liệu disruption from what turned out to be a relatively short strike at US East and Gulf Coast container ports.
Following bongdaso dữ liệu start of bongdaso dữ liệu strike, which lasted from October 2-4, bongdaso dữ liệu International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) and US Maritime Alliance (USMX) reached a temporary agreement on wages and agreed to extend bongdaso dữ liệu Master Contract until January 15 next year. Of course, if further industrial action takes place beyond this date then it will happen during bongdaso dữ liệu quieter season beyond bongdaso dữ liệu fourth quarter peak.
That said, typically each day of a port shutdown leads to one week of disruption, said Robertson.
“While bongdaso dữ liệu disruption has been relatively short-lived we are going to see a ripple effect that carries into bongdaso dữ liệu fourth quarter. It’s well documented that every day of shutdown, whether it be an east coast or west coast port, typically leads to a one week backlog or a week to clear.
“So best case scenario here we’re looking at a minimum of three weeks for those logistics chains to recover here in bongdaso dữ liệu US.”
DHL customers have been advised to bring forward inventory shipping dates to prepare for potential disruption ahead of bongdaso dữ liệu peak, and Robertson said importers are now assessing whether this action tides them over for bongdaso dữ liệu next four-six weeks or whether there will “be a need to utilise faster transportation – consolidated airfreight, time definite express services”.
Robertson said while smaller and mid-size retailers are seeking speedy solutions, larger retail companies that are better able to finance front-loading shipments are likely to be in a secure position.
Although another factor to take into account when looking at supply chain flows is that ships were diverted to US west coast ports to avoid bongdaso dữ liệu impact of bongdaso dữ liệu US east coast ports strike, but these west coast ports were already experiencing congestion and extended dwell times, he added.
DHL predicts that export bookings made bongdaso dữ liệu week ending Sunday 6 October are likely not going to sail for another three to four weeks.
“We anticipated and we already see an increase in expedited solutions on bongdaso dữ liệu export side and I fully expect that’s going to continue into Q4, not just into Asia, but into Europe and also into Latin America.”
He warned it is important not to “underestimate bongdaso dữ liệu port strike impact on exports flows out of bongdaso dữ liệu US and Canada this peak”.
Source: https://www.aircargonews.net/airlines/dhl-optimistic-for-first-quarter-2025-airfreight-demand/
At bongdaso dữ liệu inaugural Global Air Cargo Summit, held in Antalya, Türkiye, bongdaso dữ liệu International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) forecasted that air freight volumes will grow by an...
bongdaso dữ liệu imposition of new U.S. tariffs on foreign-made vehicles and components is causing significant disruptions in bongdaso dữ liệu global automotive supply chain. Airfreight, often a linchpin...
Global trade uncertainty is prompting air cargo shippers and freight forwarders to favor short-term contracts over longer-term agreements, as highlighted in a recent Xeneta...
U.S. plans to end tariff-free access for low-value shipments from China and Hong Kong, coupled with a new 145% tariff rate on Chinese imports, are projected to slash over...
Trade groups warn of higher ocean shipping costs and disrupted supply chains, while U.S. officials argue bongdaso dữ liệu policy aims to strengthen domestic shipbuilding and enhance economic...
Since January, bongdaso dữ liệu Trump Administration has announced and delayed multiple tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, further destabilizing bongdaso dữ liệu cross-border freight market....
As global supply chains adjust to post-pandemic realities and shifting trade dynamics, bongdaso dữ liệu air cargo industry in bongdaso dữ liệu Asia-Pacific (APAC) region finds itself at a pivotal crossroads.
Global tonnage improved +3% in week 15 (April 7-13) after bongdaso dữ liệu previous week’s drop of -7% as markets that had closed for bongdaso dữ liệu Eid-al-Fitr holiday came back on stream, but comparison...
E-commerce continues to be a key growth driver for air cargo, fueled by rising consumer demand and bongdaso dữ liệu rapid expansion of emerging markets, even as regulatory barriers increase.
bongdaso dữ liệu International Air Transport Association (IATA) has maintained a positive outlook for air cargo, emphasizing that bongdaso dữ liệu majority of global trade remains unaffected by bongdaso dữ liệu...
en